Transparency by Default

No hopium. Just data. We track our accuracy across every report.

Overall Accuracy

69.8%

Directional Accuracy

47.2%

Evaluations

335

Brier Score

0.199

Lower is better

Alpha vs Baselines

+1.8%

vs alwaysBullish

Market Regime

Sideways

Current market condition

1-Day Performance Trend

Overall accuracy score over the last 90 days.

Prediction Performance

How often our scenarios and direction matches reality.

Advanced Calibration Metrics

Deep analysis of prediction quality and model performance.

Confidence Calibration

Are HIGH confidence predictions more accurate than LOW?

Accuracy by Market Regime

How accuracy varies in bull, bear, and sideways markets.

Model vs Baselines

Comparing our predictions against simple strategies.

Probability Calibration

Do our probability estimates match reality?

Is the System Improving?

Last 7 days vs prior 30 days — are recent predictions more accurate?

Recent Trend

-1%→

Last 7d: 6 evals

Prior 30d: 29 evals

Recent Evaluations

Report Date	Horizon	Direction	Score
Apr 30, 2026	1 Day	Incorrect